I'm not really sure what this will be used for, but I am along for the ride.
Friday, September 30, 2005
Using Apple's own PR Library I was able to reconstruct the historical performance of the iTunes music store since it's inception. The following graph depicts the growth curve for iTunes downloads, based on Apples own press releases (and interpolation between dates.)
The pinkish-purple portion of the graph is my conservative estimate of the continued growth of the downloads. (As long as the record industry doesn't pull the plug on Apple.) Based on these estimates, Apple should hit the One Billionth (with a 'B') download in late April 2006.
With the record companies collecting 70 cents for each download, they would have to be completely brain dead to turn off a $500,000,000/year spigot.
Hopefully all the negative feedback regarding them pulling the plug will be heard and they'll relax. I don't know one person who thinks its a winner idea.
Meanwhile, on topic, the graph is nice. Be sure to update it as new PR numbers are released.
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